Riding The Gravy Train: TBT 3-Year Declining Wedge Due To Be Broken

Riding The Gravy Train

Beating the market is fun and profitable. This is how we do it.

Tuesday, June 21, 2016

TBT 3-Year Declining Wedge Due To Be Broken

 
TBT is the ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury ET, which "seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to two times the inverse (-2x) of the daily performance of the Barclays U.S. 20+ Year Treasury Bond Index."

Per its chart below, there's a 3-year declining wedge formation in the pricing of TBT.  This type of formation tends to resolve upward.  Furthermore, bullish sentiment in long-term bonds is at levels commensurate with all-time highs and long-term reversals.



If buying TBT, one speculates that the multi-decade bull market in long bonds will soon reverse.  This should prove to be a long-term holding, and our initial stop suggestion is at $29.90 in an attempt to cap risk around 12.5% as TBT closed today at $34.15

News Item: Goldman Sachs Expects Steep Drop-off In U.S. Demand For Stocks

 
 
 
 
 


We receive no remuneration or incentive directly or indirectly in any way, shape, or form for buying or selling the positions we do, or for mentioning any positions or publicly traded companies in this blog. If we hold existing positions we divulge the fact. This blog is merely a diary of some of our thoughts and trades and is in no way whatsoever to be considered investment advice of any kind. Always without fail consult a competent, experienced, and honest broker or investment advisor before making any investment or speculative decisions.

Please presume that we, she, he, I, it, them, they, us and you are purely fictional characters and that everything written in this blog is satire intended for comedic amusement only, and not to be taken seriously in any way. Just like "real" analyst proclamations. Thank you.

To be notified when this blog is updated :
Please e-mail christianguinness@hotmail.com with "Subscribe to blog" in the subject line or click here to do so automatically if your computer is configured accordingly. We have never shared our mailing list with anyone, nor will we. Please note that we only send update notifications when a trade idea is diarized or updated materially, not if a posting only contains general commentary.

This publication has been prepared solely for informational purposes and is made available on an "as is" basis. RidingTheGravyTrain (RtGT) does not make any warranty or representation regarding the information. The material is proprietary and without prior written permission from RtGT it may not be reproduced, copied, modified, performed, published, distributed or broadcast, in whole or in part, in any form, other than for your own personal, non-commercial use.

Nothing in this publication is intended to constitute legal, tax, securities, or investment advice, or an opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment, nor a solicitation of any type. Nothing in these pages constitutes an offer or a solicitation to buy or sell a security nor is it to be construed as investment advice.

RtGT is not an investment advisor. The general opinions and information contained in herein should not be acted upon without obtaining specific legal, tax, and investment advice from a licensed professional concerning your own situation and any specific investment questions you may have. RtGT cannot guarantee the future performance of any investment.