Riding The Gravy Train: DJIA Chart Study, Buying Dividend And Income Fund (DNI)

Riding The Gravy Train

Beating the market is fun and profitable. This is how we do it.

Wednesday, October 09, 2013

DJIA Chart Study, Buying Dividend And Income Fund (DNI)


Given we are expecting a market bounce, late Tuesday we purchased TNA October $58 calls for $2.75 and November $59 calls for $4.75 as well as TNA shares for $58.25 

If all these go our way, we'll be quick to book profits.  If we fail on the October calls the November calls might bail us out, and failing that we can hopefully make up for it by sitting with the shares and perhaps adding to them on significant drops.  That's the plan for now.

We do still maintain these short positions for balance, and will book the gains if the market continues much lower.  The net result is that we're currently bullish very short term and remain bearish in the intermediate term and longer term.  That's a bit convoluted and risky, and while some would just close out the shorts rather than add longs to the mix we're reasonably comfortable with this positioning.

We have several reasons to be short-term bullish, however there is not yet an actual bullish indicant suggesting a bounce will soon begin. 

In part we're going on instinct, and in part thinking there will be a bounce because the DJIA closed Tuesday just 50 points above its 200-day moving average (not shown on DJIA chart below) and about 25 points above a 7-month uptrend (in red on DJIA chart below).

Also, as can be seen on the DJIA chart below, the current range has been an area of resistance and support several times this year (highlighted in yellow).




We're buying the Dividend And Income Growth Fund (DNI).

We're not going to suggest it's a value play.  For us the bottom line is that if we're going to hold long positions we're wanting to get paid to do so given our belief that equities are generally very overvalued.  DNI is currently offering more than 11% yield based on the latest close of $13.96.

On the chart we see what we hope will continue to be a long-term supportive trend (in red), and we note that the past two years there has been price support just below $14:



Recent Payouts        

                                                 

AmountEx-Dividend DateRecord DatePay DateDeclare DateQualified? [?]Type
$0.4089/13/20139/17/20139/30/20139/3/2013UnknownRegular
$0.4086/13/20136/17/20136/28/20136/3/2013UnknownRegular
$0.4083/13/20133/15/20133/28/20133/1/2013UnknownRegular
$0.40812/12/201212/14/201212/28/201212/3/2012UnknownRegular


Per the fund's website:

Top Ten Holdings as of August 31, 2013:
 
1.L Brands, Inc.
2.Intel Corporation
3.General Electric Company
4.Bristol-Myers Squibb Company
5.3M Company
6.Energy Transfer Partners, L.P.
7.Johnson & Johnson     
8.Honeywell International, Inc. 
9.Merck & Co., Inc.
10.JPMorgan Chase & Co.
 
Top ten holdings comprise approximately 20% of total assets.










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